Topics
late
AI
Amazon
Image Credits:Bryce Durbin / TechCrunch
Apps
Biotech & Health
Climate
Image Credits:Bryce Durbin / TechCrunch
Cloud Computing
commercialism
Crypto
Polymarket’s Elon tweet prediction market.Image Credits:Polymarket
Enterprise
EVs
Fintech
The Polymarket Elon Musk tweets market volume in a given week.Image Credits:Polymarket
fund raise
Gadgets
Gaming
Government & Policy
Hardware
Layoffs
Media & Entertainment
Meta
Microsoft
seclusion
Robotics
Security
Social
place
startup
TikTok
Transportation
Venture
More from TechCrunch
Events
Startup Battlefield
StrictlyVC
Podcasts
Videos
Partner Content
TechCrunch Brand Studio
Crunchboard
Contact Us
Will Elon Musk put up more than 400 tweets this hebdomad ? More than 800 ? Estimate correctly and you could twist up with a overnice lump of hard cash if you were to back your opinion by purchase “ ploughshare ” on Polymarket .
Thesometimes controversial Polymarketis one of the cyberspace ’s “ prediction markets . ” That ’s a fancy — and fair advanced — way to put your money where your lip is when you finger the itch to state an opinion on the internet . Even if your opinion is “ I ’ll bet Musk tweets more than 400 times this hebdomad . ”
Indeed , the Musk tweeting “ marketplace ” on the site is so active that it ’s been given a top - grade site inter-group communication and repeats every week . This workweek ’s market , which ends on January 17 , has already done over $ 1.9 million in trading volume and it routinely hits more than $ 1 million . That ’s not to say you ’d gain that much money . Your payout would depend on how many shares you bought should your tweet - volume dead reckoning prove dependable . ( Polymarket did not respond to our request for gossip on how much money this market place has bear out . )
situation disk show it ’s been a weekly market place since at least June . And there ’s a second one where exploiter can bet on thenumber of tweets ranging between 300 and 550 + in 25 - tweet increments .
The discussions on the market get serious , too , sound somewhat like sawhorse cartroad gamblers talking about their pick of ponies . For example , on Tuesday , substance abuser “ Rogu ” analyzed : “ Current tweets per Clarence Shepard Day Jr. is at 50 , on pace to hit 350 . To get to 400 + he ’d need to average more than 65 per day for the remaining time . While that is a just moment more , it ’s not * that * much . With the approaching Starship test flight he might be tweeting a routine more than these preceding few days . ”
Rogu is referring to SpaceX ’s Starship Flight 7 launching , which is scheduled for January 15 .
Polymarket ’s independent competitor , Kalshi , also has an Elon Musk top - grade link , but it link to all sorts of wanna - stake type opinions on Musk , ranging from what his part might be in the new administration to speculation about his future net Charles Frederick Worth . ( People can no doubt bet or buy shares on those things on Polymarket , too . )
Join us at TechCrunch Sessions: AI
Exhibit at TechCrunch Sessions: AI
But how much prison term Musk will spend on his preferred , in person own societal medium site has been an on-going pet . And it has to be one of the ridiculous yet entertaining ways people spend their money on the net .
